luni, 11 august 2008

Greece - Germany ( Basketball, Beijing 2008 )

Very interesting game this is. Greece started the tournament very bad, with a big loss against Spain. They didn`t play like they used to... but it`s known that they start bad but finish good.
Spain destroyed Greece, 81-66 but the difference was bigger in the 4th quarter.
Germany destroyed Angola, 95-66... nothing much to say.
I expect a close game and a Germany win maybe...

I have 3 picks on this game, because I find it very interesting.

Germany @ 4.04 - 2 units @ Pinnaclesports
Germany +7 @ 1.94 - 8 units @ Pinnaclesports
Greece under 79.5 points @ 1.85 - 9 units @ Bwin

Russia - Croatia ( Basketball, Beijing 2008 )

Russia played nice in the first game and won by 22 points against Iran; but let`s face it... it`s like playing against amateurs.
Russia has a nice defence, so I expect a low-scoring game tomorrow. Received only 49 points from Iran, and that`s good... even against a team like Iran.
Croatia hit some amazing shots against Australia, and had 75% from downtown ( 12 out of 16 )... INCREDIBLE !
Nice percentage at 2 pointers too, 63%.
Despite Australia playing some nice ball, they still lost by 15.
I really don`t think that will happen again tomorrow... probably the percentage at 3 pointers for Croatia will be much lower, in fact I`m sure. Anyway, Australia doesn`t have a good defence, but Russia are much more stronger.

under 148 points @ 2.03
7 units @ Pinnaclesports

Iran - Lithuania ( Basketball, Beijing 2008 )

I really don`t have too much time...
Lithuania in the first match won by 4, after a shocking 3 pointer in the last 3 seconds ( + 1 free throw in the last second ). They were leading at HT by 4, so they had a good start... I expect the same good start tomorrow and a 20+ lead at HT, then the bench players will probably take the places of starters.
Iran was a disaster in the first match... in fact, they are really poor... so it was expected. Russia, which is weaker than Lithuania, managed to get a 19 points lead in the first quarter... Iran won the 2nd Q, but by only 3.

My pick:
Lithuania -14.5 at HT @ 1.85
8 units @ Bwin

Edit: I found a gift at sportingbet
Iran under 64.5 points @ 1.72 - 9 units

duminică, 10 august 2008

End of the week report !

Weekly report. It was a good weekend...

9 WON - 3 lost
+25.14 units

Next: Basketball from Beijing, Liga I next week games and other events from Beijing 2008.

Check the blog daily !

NK Zagreb - Hajduk Split

Check h2h between these 2 teams... http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/croatian-1st-league-2008-2009/mutual?idHome=433038&idAway=432957&idLeague=102035&submit=show
31 matches - 18 wins for Hajduk, 13 wins for NK Zagreb - NOT A SINGLE DRAW

My Pick
12 ( lay X ) @ 1.27
10 units @ expekt

Good material for combos !

Result: 3-0
PICK WON !
+2.7 units

USA - China ( Basketball, Beijing 2008 )

I`ll not say very much about this match... USA has the stronger team, will win clearly, probably by 30+...
But I`m not touching handicap, because I`m afraid the refs will help China a bit...
USA made good preparation games, with many points... most of them. When playing against offensive teams they scored 120 ( vs Lituania ), 114 ( vs Turkey ), 120 ( vs Canada ).
But when they play against teams with good defense, they don`t score much at all: 89 vs Russia, 87 vs Australia. I`m not saying they will score 80 or 90... they`ll probably score 100 but I still don`t see an over here.

under 182.5 points @ 1.91
7 units @ 10bet

Result:101-70

PICK WON !
+6.3 units

Pandurii Tg.Jiu - Unirea Urziceni

Another game in Liga I today... I think this will get very physical and will be tight, probably with a small amount of goals.
Pandurii Tg-Jiu is in nice shape, despite their 3-0 loss at Timisoara ( I suspect it was a kind of "friendly" game ). In the first match they succeeded only a draw against Dinamo, but this is a good result because Dinamo is one of the biggest teams in Romania. They play pretty good at home, and had an excelent 2nd part of the season last year, winning at Dinamo or CFR Cluj.
Unirea`s coach is suspended for this game and he misses 6 important players today. Besides, Unirea always played bad away from home.
The odds on Pandurii are very good and have big value.

Pandurii DNB @ 1.85
9/10 @ Sportingbet

Result: 1-5
Pick Lost !
-9 units

Big surprise. Pandurii had a man sent off in the beggining of the match + penalty for Unirea.

sâmbătă, 9 august 2008

Germany - Angola ( Basketball, Beijing 2008 )

Chris Kaman over 8.5 rebounds @ 1.85
7 units @ Betandwin

Another interesting pick on this game. There`s is not much to say... Chris Kaman is tall center, he has 213 cm. The tallest player in Angola NT has 203, so I expect many off rebounds from germans. In the last game between these 2 teams, Nowitzki made 16 rebounds and he is 213 too, like Kaman. But I choose Kaman because he`s a center and I expect him to rebound more than Dirk.

Result: 2 rebs

PICK LOST:
-7 units

I was too excited when I saw this one , I thought the odds were good.

Lituania - Argentina ( Basketball, Beijing 2008 )

Lituania and Argentina are 2 offensive-minded teams and I expect a big over in this match.
Lituania has only one player in NBA, Linas Kleiza @ Denver Nuggets, and that should be a disadvantage. Of course they have very good players playing in Europe, like Sarunas Jasikevicius @ Panathinaikos, Simas Jasaitis @ Tau Ceramica, Darjus Lavrinovic @ Unics Kazan, Jonas Maciulis @ Zalgiris or Rimantasc Kaukenas @ Montepaschi Siena.
Argentina has much more players in NBA, playing at a higher level. Manu Ginobili is their big star, but they have Oberto from SA Spurs, Nocioni from Bulls, Scola from Rockets and former NBA player Carlos Delfino. And let`s not forget Pablo Prigioni from Tau Vitoria, very good PG. Their problems is they don`t have many good players and have to play a lot with the starters.
I`ve seen some games in the last weeks and Argentina played pretty good, but I can`t make a prediction on winner, since I haven`t seen Lituania. Argentina played fast, games had good pace.

My pick:
over 168.5 @ 2.00
8 units @ Pinnaclesports

Result: 79-75
pick lost !
-8 units